* European Central Bank policy meeting due on Thursday * More platinum deficits loom after record 2020 undersupply – WPIC * Platinum prices likely to reach $1,300/oz over 12 months – UBS (Updates prices) By Shreyansi Singh March 10 (Reuters) – Gold eased on Wednesday after registering its biggest jump in two months in the last session, as higher U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar remained a stumbling block for bullion. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,711.21 per ounce by 1207 GMT after rising more than 2% on Tuesday. U.S. gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,709.20. U.S. yields regained momentum on Wednesday, raising the opportunity cost of holding bullion, while the dollar also gained. “Gold prices are likely to remain under pressure, while concerns about inflation are front of mind for the market,” said CMC Markets UK’s chief market analyst, Michael Hewson, adding a stronger dollar could be a further drag on bullion prices over the next few days.
Gold is attempting to stabilize at the 2019-2021 uptrend at $1667 but the yellow metal needs to do more work to negate the downside pressure, Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank, reports.
See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to near the confluence support zone at $1,660-$1,670 – DBS Bank
“The market has sold off towards the $1670 June low and the $1667 2019-2021 uptrend. This is currently holding the downside.”
“Initial resistance is offered by the $1760/$1772 band, which is the May high and previous 50% retracement and the short-term downtrend in order to alleviate downside pressure and signal recovery to the 200-day ma at $1861.”
GOLD TALKING POINTS
The price of gold attempts to retrace the decline from the beginning of March as the US 10-Year Treasury yield pulls back from a fresh yearly high (1.62%), but key market themes may keep the precious mental under pressure as the Federal Reserve appears to be in no rush to alter the path for monetary policy.
FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST FOR GOLD: BEARISH
The price of gold bounces back from a fresh weekly low ($1688) as the initial reaction to the 379K rise in US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) dissipates, and the recent weakness in longer-dated Treasury yields may lead to a larger rebound in the precious metal even as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintains a dovish forward guidance.
Gold slid as much as 2% to its lowest in nearly nine months on Wednesday as elevated U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar hammered the metal’s appeal.
Spot gold was down 1.2% at $1,718.09 per ounce by 11:56 a.m. ET (1656 GMT), after falling to its lowest since June 2020 at $1,701.40 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures lost 0.9% to $1,718.80.
”As real rates continue to rise, that’s challenging gold. The rates markets are also adding pressure on valuations for all asset classes, and as a result, gold is a casualty,” said TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali.
Benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields crept back towards a one-year peak reached last week, while the dollar rose.
According to the report, the pandemic has had an impact on businesses across the globe.
SEATTLE (Scrap Monster): The Gold Responsibility & Paramount Mission” summit held in Beijing on November 6th provides social responsibility report by the gold industry on prevention and control during times of crisis. The report, prepared jointly by the China Gold Association, Shanghai Gold Exchange, World Gold Council and Sina Finance, focuses on the efforts undertaken by the Chinese gold industry in overcoming the difficulties of the time.
According to the report, the pandemic has had an impact on businesses across the globe. However, all major gold companies were holding fast to the front line of epidemic prevention and control. All these companies formulated and implemented anti-epidemic measures, which helped them to resume production in a timely and regulatory manner. Also, gold regulatory bodies and industry trade associations played leading role in mobilizing the entire industry back into action.
Yen and Dollar surges broadly as European stocks tumble sharp on the come back of coronavirus. At the moment, FTSE is down -1.77%> DAX is down -3.25%. CAC is down -3.07%. DOW future is also down nearly -500 pts.
Gold drops back below 1900 handle today, following the rally in Dollar. While it’s essentially still range bound, focus is back on 1872.85 support. Firm break there will suggest that whole corrective pattern from 2075.18 high is extending with another leg through 1848.39 low.
The fallout from the US Fed’s new inflation strategy continued on Friday, with investors finding comfort that policy will remain accommodative. This saw the ANZ China Commodity Index ending the session up 0.2%. This capped off a positive week for commodities, with the CCI rising 0.6%. Industrial metals led the complex, with nickel and copper recording strong gains. Precious metals were also stronger, with gold rising 1.3% over the week. Crude oil gained, sending the energy sector higher. Bulk commodities ended the week lower, as iron ore fell. Agriculture was down over the course of the week.
Gold Breaks $2,000/oz and Surges to $2,042/oz – New All Time Record Nominal Highs
◆ Gold surged past the important $2,000/oz level to a new record high today due to concerns about the outlook for stocks, bonds and other assets in an increasingly vulnerable U.S. and global economy.
◆ Gold has surged to new record highs in all major currencies today including new record highs in British pounds at £1,554/oz and in euros at €1,720/oz due to concerns about the outlook both for assets and currencies such as the euro, pound and all fiat currencies.
◆ The price of gold surged over $2,042/oz, supported by the mounting virus and economic lockdown fallout and record deficit spending by governments and central bank currency creation to buy bonds and others assets in the debt laden financial system.
◆ The explosion and destruction in Beirut highlighted the risk of war in a very unstable Middle East and a scramble for safe haven assets as some 2,700 tonnes of ammonium nitrate exploded in Beirut, reducing parts of the Lebanese capital to rubble.
◆ Gold has reached new record nominal highs due to a combination of financial, economic, monetary and geopolitical risks and many analysts are forecasting further gains in the coming months with the $3,000 per ounce level being call for by many analysts including GoldCore.
◆ There are increasing concerns about the value of the dollar and other currencies due to currency creation on a scale not seen since Weimar Germany. This comes at a time when savers are not getting any yield on their bank deposits and are increasingly facing negative rates on depreciating currencies.
* Gold needs a period of consolidation -technical analysts
* Silver rises to more than 7-year high
By Eileen Soreng
Aug 5 (Reuters) – Gold soared to a record high on Wednesday as a weakening dollar, falling returns on U.S. bonds and a break above historic resistance at $2,000 an ounce added momentum to buying by investors seeking a safe store of value.
As the COVID-19 pandemic has roiled markets, gold has gained nearly 35% this year and is one of 2020’s best performing assets.
Investors fear economic stimulus unleashed in response to the pandemic will trigger inflation, devaluing other assets, and keeping bond yields historically low, which enhances the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Analysts at Citigroup have revised up their gold-price forecasts across the time horizons, given the latest relentless rise in the yellow metal to fresh record highs of $1981.34.
“Still further to go, short-term target $2,100, then $2,300 in 6 to 12 months.”
“Prices seem biased to stay higher for longer, with 2019-2020 emerging into a unique bull regime for the yellow metal.”