The dollar could weaken further under a Biden administration, analysts say

KEY POINTS

  • Citi Private Bank strategists predicted a weaker dollar ahead, given that a Biden administration would reduce uncertainty in international trade policy.
  • Following projections over the weekend that Joe Biden has won the U.S. presidential election, the dollar continued diving sharply, while Asian currencies strengthened.
  • JPMorgan Private Bank’s Adam Margolis said the theme at play was to continue to look for “opportunities” to trim the overweight exposure on the dollar.

SINGAPORE — The U.S. dollar is poised to further weaken, amid market views that geopolitical risks are falling after the election and that the next stimulus package will likely be smaller than expected, according to analysts.

Citi Private Bank strategists predicted a weaker dollar ahead, given that a Biden administration would reduce uncertainty in international trade policy.

“Victory for President Elect Biden means a return to more conventional governance. As the province of the President, it will result in a major shift in the way foreign policy is conducted. Alliance building will return. ‘Tariff threat first’ negotiating tactics will end,” the bank’s chief investment officer, David Bailin, and Steven Wieting, chief investment strategist and chief economist, wrote in a note published Monday.

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1776 Continental Dollar, Currency, Pewter PCGS AU50

Way Cool

While the origin and purpose of the 1776 Continental dollar has long been an intriguing topic of discussion among numismatists and researchers, Eric P. Newman believed that these coins were American-made. Further, the fact that the Continental Currency paper $1 notes were eliminated from the six issues from July 22, 1776, through September 26, 1778, indicates that Congress planned for a $1 coin, and that the Continental dollar was used as fiat money. Multiple varieties  exist, and varying quantities of coins were struck in pewter, brass, and silver from multiple die combinations and die stages. For every genuine one such as this, there seem to be nearly countless copies, many of which were sold in souvenir shops.

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