Republic Precious Metals Exchange
Preserving Portfolios One Ounce at a Time
Yen and Dollar surges broadly as European stocks tumble sharp on the come back of coronavirus. At the moment, FTSE is down -1.77%> DAX is down -3.25%. CAC is down -3.07%. DOW future is also down nearly -500 pts.
Gold drops back below 1900 handle today, following the rally in Dollar. While it’s essentially still range bound, focus is back on 1872.85 support. Firm break there will suggest that whole corrective pattern from 2075.18 high is extending with another leg through 1848.39 low.
Courtesy of MarketWatch By William Watts
A stronger U.S. dollar helped to push gold futures lower Wednesday, with the precious metal failing to find haven-related demand despite a global equity selloff sparked by a continued rise in COVID-19 cases in Europe and the U.S., analysts said.
December gold GCZ20, -1.77% fell $26, or 1.4%, to $1,886.10 an ounce, while December silver SIZ20, -4.92% was down 70.5 cents, or 2.9%, to $23.86 an ounce.
European equities fell and U.S. stock-index futures pointed to heavy losses for Wall Street as European countries weighed imposing a new round of lockdowns to contain the pandemic and the U.S. saw a continued surge in new cases.
The number of new U.S. cases daily rose back above 70,000 on Tuesday after hitting a record above 80,000 at the end of last week. The U.S. has reported a record 500,000 cases over the past week, the New York Times reported, while the seven-day average of confirmed new cases hit a record of 69,967 on Monday, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University.
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Silver failed to settle above the 50 EMA at $24.55 and is trying to gain downside momentum.
Silver continues to trade below the 50 EMA at $24.55 while the U.S. dollar is losing ground against a broad basket of currencies.
The U.S. Dollar Index failed to settle above the nearest resistance level at 93 but managed to stay above the nearest support level at 92.80. If the U.S. Dollar Index gets below the support at 92.80, it may gain additional downside momentum and provide some support to silver and other precious metals.
Meanwhile, gold is glued to its 50 EMA level just above $1900. This month, gold failed to develop any momentum. Perhaps, traders did not want to make major bets before the U.S. presidential election which may significantly increase volatility in the precious metal space.
Gold/silver ratio continues to test the nearest resistance at its 50 EMA at 78.25. If gold/silver ratio settles above this resistance level, it will gain additional upside momentum and head towards the 80 level which will be bearish for silver.
This is the first part of a two-part article.
Throughout the history of capitalism and its recurrent crises, various theories have been brought forward by “left” theorists who maintain that these crises and the social ills they generate can be ameliorated, if not entirely eliminated, by changing the monetary system without touching the foundations of capitalist production itself.
While presenting themselves as “leftist” and “progressive,” advocating reform of the capitalist system, history shows that in periods of great crisis they seek to divert the working class from the program of socialist revolution while at the same time providing the ideological foundations for political forces that advance a counterrevolutionary solution to the crisis.
Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), the essential principles of which are outlined in this book by one of its foremost advocates, is the latest expression of this phenomenon.
The struggle against such tendencies goes back to the very origins of Marxist political economy.
A worker plunges a gold ingot into a cooling bath at the Uralelectromed Copper Refinery, operated by Ural Mining and Metallurgical Co. (UMMC), in Verkhnyaya Pyshma, Russia, on Thursday, July 30, 2020. Gold surged to a fresh record Friday fueled by a weaker dollar and low interest rates. Silver headed for its best month since 1979. , Bloomberg
(Bloomberg) — Gold is rebounding, with Comex futures climbing back to $2,000 an ounce as the dollar weakened and investors bet U.S. interest rates would stay lower for longer.
The dollar dropped to the lowest in over two years, fueling a broad advance in commodities. Spot gold gained more than 3% over the past three sessions, following its first monthly loss since March, as the Federal Reserve’s new approach on inflation added support. That came after a slowdown in buying from gold-backed exchange-traded funds raised concern that a key driver of the metal’s record rally may be losing momentum.
“Now that month end is out of the way, the underlying trends can resume, one of which is a lower U.S. dollar,” said Shyam Devani, chief strategist at SAV Markets in Singapore. “Broadly, the massive increase in global money supply keeps gold in an uptrend.”
That’s Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz’s chief economic adviser, explaining in an op-ed for the Financial Times how action in the options pits should be taken as a warning by retail investors who have been cashing in on the stock market’s relentless push higher in recent months.
“The seemingly endless rally… gives the impression that prices are endorsed and supported by the entire professional investment community,” he said. “After all, despite the vocal concerns over valuations having split away from underlying corporate and economic fundamentals, few fund managers have been willing to challenge the market by placing outright shorts. “
However, “sophisticated investors” are expressing their cautious views with the use of derivatives, and El-Erian says the mom-and-pop types should take note.
The fallout from the US Fed’s new inflation strategy continued on Friday, with investors finding comfort that policy will remain accommodative. This saw the ANZ China Commodity Index ending the session up 0.2%. This capped off a positive week for commodities, with the CCI rising 0.6%. Industrial metals led the complex, with nickel and copper recording strong gains. Precious metals were also stronger, with gold rising 1.3% over the week. Crude oil gained, sending the energy sector higher. Bulk commodities ended the week lower, as iron ore fell. Agriculture was down over the course of the week.
Gold futures on Wednesday edged slightly lower, hovering around the unchanged mark, as a rise in bond yields and the U.S. dollar, both bearish factors for bullion, weighed on precious metals.
The moves come ahead of a highly anticipate speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who is expected to provide a more accommodative signal, signaling that the U.S. central bank is willing to embark upon on unconventional way of thinking about rising inflation.
Authored by Adam Taggart via PeakProsperity6.com,
Central banks are killing our currency to protect the already-rich…
In our recent article It’s Time To Position For The Endgame, Chris Martenson explained how the US Federal Reserve and its sister central banks around the world have been engaged in the largest and most egregious wealth transfer in all of history — one that has been drastically exacerbated by the covid-19 pandemic.
The official response, tremendous monetary stimulus by the central banks paired with massive fiscal stimulus from national legislatures, has been pitched as “saving the system”.
Yet, in reality, it has merely served to accelerate the transfer of capital from the public into the pockets of the already-rich.
Anyone with eyes can see how the central banks have abandoned all pretense of monetary fiduciary responsibility and have simply cranked their printing presses up to “maximum”:
The value or price of gold has risen since mid-March 2020, reflecting worries across the financial world about how much purchasing power major paper currencies hold. In light of the deep recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic, the world’s most powerful central banks have responded in two ways: with a combination of quantitative easing – essentially money printing – and lowering interest rates (to sometimes even negative rates). The combination of these two monetary actions could possibly lead to inflation. As a result, many people seek gold as a more reliable store of value than normally stable paper currencies.
The Current Basis for Gold’s Value
The price of gold has been rising – as of July 2020 it reached a seven-year high – since major central banks responded to the severe recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic with a combination of quantitative easing and low interest rates. Both initiatives of major central banks aim to support devastated businesses and alleviate widespread unemployment by stimulating economic activity.