Gold Will Beat U.S. Stocks in Turbulent Market, Strategists Say

Gregor Stuart Hunter, Bloomberg News

A worker lifts a gold ingot from a cooling bath at the Uralelectromed Copper Refinery, operated by Ural Mining and Metallurgical Co. (UMMC), in Verkhnyaya Pyshma, Russia, on Thursday, July 30, 2020. Gold surged to a fresh record Friday fueled by a weaker dollar and low interest rates. Silver headed for its best month since 1979. Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg

(Bloomberg) — Gold and U.S. stocks could part ways during a fresh round of market turbulence, ending a three-month period in which their returns were almost yoked.

Renewed deterioration of the global economy and more lockdowns to prevent Covid-19 from spreading should hit equities but leave gold standing, according to Societe Generale.

“While the correlation between gold and equities has turned unambiguously positive since the March lows in risk assets, another serious bout of risk aversion could cause the performances of equities and gold to diverge,” SocGen strategists including Jitesh Kumar wrote in a note dated Aug. 4, echoing comments from other strategists.

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